data | Kerala’s recent COVID-19 surge explained

In August, the average daily test in Kerala decreased despite a steady increase in the average daily test positivity rate

Kerala sees a surge in COVID-19 cases again. Now, every six out of 10 new cases in India are from Kerala. While cases have been increasing gradually since July, a sharp rise in infections has been recorded After Onam is over. Testing levels dropped sharply during the 10-day festival despite increased public mobility. The sudden drop in testing came despite an increase in the test positivity ratio, meaning many infections were missed during the festival period. As tests were carried out after the festival, a sharp increase in daily cases was also registered. More worryingly, the number of hospitalized patient Those whose condition is critical, their condition is also increasing in the state.

increasing share

The share of Kerala in India’s average new cases has steadily increased between June 1 and August 28. As on August 28, 64.2% of India’s average new cases were from Kerala. The chart shows the seven-day rolling average of new cases in Kerala and its contribution to India’s average new cases.

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test factor

New cases are increasing in Kerala since July. However, there was an increase in trials with them as well. While arrests were arrested to some extent between 1 and 22 August, cases began to rise again as a result of a sharp drop in daily tests during Onam. After the festival, tests intensified once again, leading to a sharp rise in daily cases. The chart shows a seven-day rolling average of new cases and daily tests.

increasing test positivity

In August, the average daily tests in Kerala decreased despite a steady increase in the average daily test positivity rate (TPR – positive cases per 100 tests). On 7 August it was 12.33% (day tests started decreasing) and on 22 August it was 16.03%. This means that a lot of infections may have been missed during the test. After the increase in daily testing, the TPR continued to rise and stood at 17.86% on 28 August, as many previously unknown cases would have been captured.

increased mobility

The chart shows the change in daily public mobility in Kerala between January and August 2021 as compared to the average value for the corresponding day of the week during the five-week period from January 3 to February 6, 2020. There was a significant increase in public. Mobility during the period when Onam was celebrated in the state. People’s visits to grocery and pharmacy stores and parks, and retail and entertainment activities increased in this period. Grocery and park visits registered their highest level since January this year as compared to baseline.

critical patient

Recently, the number of patients in ICU and ventilator support is also increasing. As of August 28, 2,179 patients were admitted in the ICU, while 883 were on ventilator support.

Source: covid19india.org, Kerala State COVID-19 Dashboard, Google Mobility Index

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