WASHINGTON: Amid recent devastating weather events across India, including Uttarakhand and Kerala, an unprecedented US intelligence assessment has identified India and Pakistan among 11 countries that are most likely to prepare for and respond to environmental and social crises. are “extremely weak” in ability. Climate change.
first time US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Climate also says India and China will play a key role in determining the trajectory of global temperature rise, while highlighting the West’s contribution to the crisis, even as it warns that Global warming will increase geopolitical tensions and risks to US national security. the period up to 2040.
“China and India … are the first and fourth largest emitters, respectively, and are both increasing their total and per capita emissions, while the United States and the European Union – the second and third largest – are decreasing,” the report said. Say, acknowledging that both countries are adding more renewable and low-carbon sources to their energy mix.
The report noted that several factors would limit their displacement of coal (seen as one of the primary culprits), including the costs they incurred to make coal relatively cheap to use compared to other energy sources. are, and are “trying to appease domestic constituencies that rely on the coal industry for jobs”—an allegation that has come to haunt the U.S. That was true too.
The report, which comes days before the COP 26 climate change conference in Glasgow, in a section titled “Arising About Who Bears Responsibility to Act”, vaguely forecasts that there will be a “long-term gap between expected contributions from developed versus developing countries”. The diplomatic division will continue.”
Most developing countries will almost certainly continue to present conditional targets, arguing that developed countries should provide adequate financial support – as stated in the Paris Agreement – for technology transfer, and capacity, to reach their NDC goals. aid in construction, the report says, given their view that the failure of developed countries to raise $100 billion annually starting in 2020 has hindered their ability to take serious action.
The report identified 11 countries, including India, Pakistan and Afghanistan, as “select countries of concern”, while warning they could face warmer temperatures, more extreme weather and disruption of ocean patterns , thereby providing their energy, food, water and health security. More frequent and intense cyclones are likely to contaminate water sources and increase vector populations and spread to as many as 11 countries, it warns.
Outside the Arctic, intelligence assessments say in the context of India and Pakistan that cross-border tensions over shared surface and groundwater basins will probably increase as weather variability already exists or triggers new water insecurity.
Although the report states that scientific forecasts are not accurate enough to pinpoint potential flashpoints, it notes that Pakistan relies on below-surface water from heavily glacier-fed rivers originating in India for most of its irrigation. does, and requires consistent data from India on river discharge. To provide advanced warnings to evacuate villages and prepare for floods.
Referring to climate change-related migration, the report warned that it would disturb socioeconomic, political and demographic dynamics, contribute to instability, and strain relations between countries of origin and receiving.
“We believe that cross-border migration will probably increase as climate impacts put additional stress on internally displaced populations already struggling under poor governance, violent conflict and environmental degradation. Triggers of increased migration include drought, along with The storm is likely to be accompanied by more intense cyclones involving floods and floods,” the report says in the context of issues between India and Bangladesh, among other countries.
first time US National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on Climate also says India and China will play a key role in determining the trajectory of global temperature rise, while highlighting the West’s contribution to the crisis, even as it warns that Global warming will increase geopolitical tensions and risks to US national security. the period up to 2040.
“China and India … are the first and fourth largest emitters, respectively, and are both increasing their total and per capita emissions, while the United States and the European Union – the second and third largest – are decreasing,” the report said. Say, acknowledging that both countries are adding more renewable and low-carbon sources to their energy mix.
The report noted that several factors would limit their displacement of coal (seen as one of the primary culprits), including the costs they incurred to make coal relatively cheap to use compared to other energy sources. are, and are “trying to appease domestic constituencies that rely on the coal industry for jobs”—an allegation that has come to haunt the U.S. That was true too.
The report, which comes days before the COP 26 climate change conference in Glasgow, in a section titled “Arising About Who Bears Responsibility to Act”, vaguely forecasts that there will be a “long-term gap between expected contributions from developed versus developing countries”. The diplomatic division will continue.”
Most developing countries will almost certainly continue to present conditional targets, arguing that developed countries should provide adequate financial support – as stated in the Paris Agreement – for technology transfer, and capacity, to reach their NDC goals. aid in construction, the report says, given their view that the failure of developed countries to raise $100 billion annually starting in 2020 has hindered their ability to take serious action.
The report identified 11 countries, including India, Pakistan and Afghanistan, as “select countries of concern”, while warning they could face warmer temperatures, more extreme weather and disruption of ocean patterns , thereby providing their energy, food, water and health security. More frequent and intense cyclones are likely to contaminate water sources and increase vector populations and spread to as many as 11 countries, it warns.
Outside the Arctic, intelligence assessments say in the context of India and Pakistan that cross-border tensions over shared surface and groundwater basins will probably increase as weather variability already exists or triggers new water insecurity.
Although the report states that scientific forecasts are not accurate enough to pinpoint potential flashpoints, it notes that Pakistan relies on below-surface water from heavily glacier-fed rivers originating in India for most of its irrigation. does, and requires consistent data from India on river discharge. To provide advanced warnings to evacuate villages and prepare for floods.
Referring to climate change-related migration, the report warned that it would disturb socioeconomic, political and demographic dynamics, contribute to instability, and strain relations between countries of origin and receiving.
“We believe that cross-border migration will probably increase as climate impacts put additional stress on internally displaced populations already struggling under poor governance, violent conflict and environmental degradation. Triggers of increased migration include drought, along with The storm is likely to be accompanied by more intense cyclones involving floods and floods,” the report says in the context of issues between India and Bangladesh, among other countries.
.