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Gold prices are expected to rise amid uncertainties around ongoing trade discussions, providing fresh upside momentum, according to experts.
Though the gold price on Friday is lower by around Rs 7,000 than its peak price of over Rs 1 lakh, it is higher than the rate recorded in the previous session on Thursday.
Gold prices have declined by over Rs 7,000 from its all-time high of Rs 1 lakh in the past 10 days. On Friday (May 2), the price of the yellow metal stood at nearly Rs 93,300 per 10 grams on the MCX, compared with the Rs 1,00,484 rate recorded on April 22, 2025.
Though the gold price on Friday is lower by around Rs 7,000 than its peak price of over Rs 1 lakh, it is higher than the gold rate recorded in the previous session on Thursday, May 1.
On Thursday, the yellow metal had stood at Rs 92,325 per 10 grams on the MCX.
Jateen Trivedi, vice-president and research analyst (commodity and currency) at LKP Securities, said, “Gold prices on Friday rebounded strongly after a minor gap-up opening, gaining Rs 950 to trade at Rs 93,325 on the MCX.”
In the international market, Comex gold found crucial support near $3,200, with sentiment stabilising amid persistent ambiguity over US-led trade deal, he added.
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Experts said gold prices are expected to rise amid uncertainties around ongoing trade discussions, providing fresh upside momentum.’
“Gold as a commodity is expected to perform well in 2025 despite of gold posted 30% return since last year. On April 22, Gold prices touched peak of Rs 1 lakh per 10 grams. Historically, Gold has posted a 15% CAGR return since 2001. Gold return has also beat the Inflation and has outperform inflation more than 2% to 4% from 1995 onwards,” said Manoj Kumar Arora, managing director at Almondz Global.
He added that gold prices are expected to remain elevated with continuous buying from central banks on concerns of geopolitical tensions, tariff threats, inflation concerns in US.
China continued to accumulate Gold at a faster pace, as of March 2025, China holds 2,292 tons Central Bank around the world added 1,000 tons of gold annually in the past three years as on 2024. As of March 2025, RBI holding have reached a record level of 879 tonnes, Arora said.
Tariff-driven recession and stagflation risks are forecasted to continue for gold’s structural bull run. We keep our positive stance on Gold with strong central banks’ purchases and demand stemming from falling Treasury yields that will push gold prices to continue to be one of the best-performing assets in 2025, he said.
“Investors can continue to invest via Gold ETFs, as ETFs considered to be low-cost investment,” Arora added.
LKP Securities’ Jateen Trivedi said the lack of clarity and shifting stances from the US on ongoing trade discussions has led market participants to unwind short positions in gold, providing fresh upside momentum. With trade talks showing little concrete progress, safe-haven interest is returning gradually.
“Volatility is expected to remain elevated, with gold likely to trade in a broad range of Rs 92,000-Rs 94,500 in the coming sessions,” Trivedi added.
Kotak Securities in its note said, “Despite recent data showing a US economic contraction in Q1 and a flat PCE price index in March, improved risk appetite driven by strong tech earnings has reduced bets on US interest rate cuts. Investors are now focused on the upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for further insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. The potential for US-China trade negotiations is a key factor weighing on safe-haven demand for gold.”
Disclaimer:Disclaimer: The views and investment tips by experts in this News18.com report are their own and not those of the website or its management. Users are advised to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
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