The business end of the Indian Premier League (IPL) 2021 is turning out to be very interesting. 43 of the 56 matches of the league stage have now been completed; And with 13 league games remaining to play, the race for the playoffs is becoming more intense.
Shankar Raghuraman TOI has done the calculations to show each team’s chances of qualifying after Wednesday’s game, assuming that the chances of winning or losing any match are 50-50.
The analysis also ignores net run rate, as with three to four games left for each team, the current NRR can change significantly.
Here are all the playoff chances for all 8 teams as things stand now, with 13 league stage matches left to play:
1) CSK are assured of finishing with points in the top three and the chances of finishing in one of the top two slots are now 96%
2) DC are the best placed and, like CSK, know they will be in the top three by points. Their chances of breaking into the top two have dwindled a bit after RCB’s win on Wednesday, but they are quite high at 86 per cent.
3) RCB are almost certain to occupy one of the top four slots on points, increasing their chances to 98%, and they now have a 46% chance of grabbing or tying one of the top two spots. Is.
4) With RR losing, KKR’s chances of being one of the top four slots on the points increased slightly to 57%. But it couldn’t make it to the top and its chances of reaching the No. 2 spot dropped to 0.8%.
5) MI are currently in fifth place and have a 57% chance of scoring a point in the top four like KKR. It may not be at the top, and the chances of getting into the top two are reduced to 1.2%.
6) RR’s loss has slightly increased the chances of sixth-placed PBKS breaking into the top four based on points, which is now at 19%, though it may not make it to the top two.
7) RR equals PBKS on points, but the odds of grabbing one of the top four slots or tying for fourth are slightly higher at 22%. It can’t make it to the top two anymore
8) SRH can tie the best for fourth place and that too has a mere 2.2% chance
9) While CSK, DC and RCB are the only teams that can reach the top, there are still 384 combinations of match results that could result in a three-way tie between them at the top with 18 or 20 points. It’s a 4.7% chance. In those scenarios, 23 could have three other teams – KKR, MI and RR in fourth place with 12 or 14 points, with only one qualifying.
Shankar Raghuraman TOI has done the calculations to show each team’s chances of qualifying after Wednesday’s game, assuming that the chances of winning or losing any match are 50-50.
The analysis also ignores net run rate, as with three to four games left for each team, the current NRR can change significantly.
Here are all the playoff chances for all 8 teams as things stand now, with 13 league stage matches left to play:
1) CSK are assured of finishing with points in the top three and the chances of finishing in one of the top two slots are now 96%
2) DC are the best placed and, like CSK, know they will be in the top three by points. Their chances of breaking into the top two have dwindled a bit after RCB’s win on Wednesday, but they are quite high at 86 per cent.
3) RCB are almost certain to occupy one of the top four slots on points, increasing their chances to 98%, and they now have a 46% chance of grabbing or tying one of the top two spots. Is.
4) With RR losing, KKR’s chances of being one of the top four slots on the points increased slightly to 57%. But it couldn’t make it to the top and its chances of reaching the No. 2 spot dropped to 0.8%.
5) MI are currently in fifth place and have a 57% chance of scoring a point in the top four like KKR. It may not be at the top, and the chances of getting into the top two are reduced to 1.2%.
6) RR’s loss has slightly increased the chances of sixth-placed PBKS breaking into the top four based on points, which is now at 19%, though it may not make it to the top two.
7) RR equals PBKS on points, but the odds of grabbing one of the top four slots or tying for fourth are slightly higher at 22%. It can’t make it to the top two anymore
8) SRH can tie the best for fourth place and that too has a mere 2.2% chance
9) While CSK, DC and RCB are the only teams that can reach the top, there are still 384 combinations of match results that could result in a three-way tie between them at the top with 18 or 20 points. It’s a 4.7% chance. In those scenarios, 23 could have three other teams – KKR, MI and RR in fourth place with 12 or 14 points, with only one qualifying.
What were the playoff chances at the end of September 28? to find out Here.
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